NFL Week 1 against-the-spread picks 49ers roll past Lions Packers Seahawks cover vs. tough foes

NFL Week 1 against-the-spread picks 49ers roll past Lions Packers Seahawks cover vs. tough foes

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We made it. The 2021 NFL season is here, and it's time to get back to making picks. We had a decent year last season, going 125-120-9 against the spread. That record would look a lot better if I didn't go 4-11-1 in Week 17 when we were trying to figure out which playoff teams were trying and which were not. Betting preseason football is more lucrative than Week 17.As you can also tell from that record, we are mi sing a couple of games due to rescheduled matchups thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic. When my weekly column was published, Marcus Gilbert Jersey there were not lines out for every game, and a couple were pushed into the middle of the week. Hopefully that does not happen again in 2021.Week 1 of the NFL season is actually one of my favorite weeks to bet. There are no trends to go off of or advanced stats from previous games. It's your own analysis or pure gut feeling. This can be both a good and bad thing, so just remember not to throw the mortgage payment on a rookie quarterback.Below, are my top five ATS picks of Week 1. If you're looking for more Week 1 picks, I gathered the entire CBS Sports NFL staff together and had them give me one ATS pick, so definitely check that piece out, . Top five picks record: 0-0Overall ATS record: 0-0Straight up record: 0-02020 ATS record: 125-120-9(2 official picks mi sed due to COVID rescheduling)Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX) The 49ers have the third-highest odds to win their Week 1 matchup, but I'll go ahead and jump on this spread. Kyle Shanahan and Co. opened up as the largest favorites in the NFL for Week 1 but were pa sed by the and their seemingly ever-increasing line against and the .The 49ers went 6-10 last year, but that should really be a throwaway campaign considering the injuries San Francisco suffered on both sides of the ball. This team was in the Super Bowl a couple of years ago and could be a contender again if they can shoo away the injury bug. They do have a quarterback controversy, but that just means is going to look to show out against a down team with a first-year head coach. I'm expecting a double-digit victory. The pick:49ers -7.5Projected score:49ers 28-10Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) didn't have to wait long for his revenge game against the Jets. Take a second and think about who turned into once he escaped Adam Gase. That could happen with Darnold, especially considering the kind of weapons at his disposal. , , . ? Come on. Plus, I think Carolina's young defense has potential.I'm not saying Darnold is Carolina's savior. I have to at least watch him for a couple games before making a claim like that, but I do think he can outplay a Arthur Moats Jersey rookie quarterback and a first-year head coach in front of his new home crowd. The pick:Panthers -4Projected score:Panthers 26-20Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX) is going to play for the Colts, but is that really the smart decision? His recovery timetable was five to 12 weeks, and he just pa sed five weeks since his surgery. Is he rushing back? Maybe. Either way, I'm not exactly confident Wentz is the long-term answer in Indy. It seems reasonable to fade him in Week 1 -- especially given his opponent. Seattle has won 12 of its past 13 games in the Eastern Time Zone. In those 13 games, has a 117.9 pa ser rating, 3,598 pa sing yards, 26 touchdown pa ses and five interceptions. I think the Seahawks should be favored by more.The pick:Seahawks -2.5Projected score: Seahawks 30-23Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX) I may be the biggest fan at CBS Sports. Twitter's own and I follow each other and everything. Still, I am a big believer in the Packers this year, especially with entering what could be his "last dance." Honestly, I believe he finishes his career in Green Bay, but there is still a different vibe with the Packers this year -- and I think it's a positive one.The Packers have made the past two NFC Championship games but haven't been able to get over the hump. Rodgers staging his "holdout," or whatever you want to call it, definitely shook some things loose in the organization in my opinion. That doesn't nece sarily guarantee this team will be better Mike Mitchell Jersey in 2021, but I do think it was a "reset" in some way. So, why do I think the Packers will be better than they were in 2021? Well, I think two rookies could play big roles. I love wide receiver out of Clemson, who could turn into an intriguing slot weapon for Rodgers, and then cornerback could carve out a role for himself as well. As for this Week 1 matchup, the Saints were displaced due to Hurricane Ida and Winston won't have to work with. Additionally, this Saints team has some serious i sues at cornerback, which is why they traded for the suspended on Wednesday. Both the Packers and will be looking to extend the league's longest active winning streak on Kickoff Weekend. Each club has won their first game in six consecutive seasons. Give me Green Bay in Week 1 by a touchdown.The pick:Packers -4Projected score:Packers 31-24Sept. 13, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) This week, I wrote about No. 3 on that list was fans in Sin City. COVID-19 derailed the the Raiders' inaugural season there, but the pa sion that city po se ses for sports has not gone away. If the NHL's Las Vegas Knights were any indication, then the Raiders could end up having one of the best home-field advantages this season. Do the Raiders have an consistency problem? Yes. But I bet they come out Monday night chomping at the bit.Another reason I like the Raiders to cover is that the Ravens haveand lost starting running back for the year due to a torn ACL. I still think the Ravens are a playoff team, but I don't think they cover in Week 1. In fact, I'll go as far to say they lose this game -- but just sprinkle on the moneyline. The pick: Raiders +4.5Projected score:Raiders 28-24Buccaneers 33-28 over Cowboys (+9.0) (-3) 27-23 over (-3) 30-26 over (PICK) 24-21 over (-3) 24-20 over 21-20 over (+3) 30-27 over (+6.5) (-3) 20-14 over Chiefs 30-26 over (+6) (+3) 27-24 over (-7.5) 26-18 over
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